Tag Archives: Edge

Week 49 Breakout Forecast: Short-Term Picks To Give You An Edge
December 3, 2017 12:23 pm|Comments (0)

Positive Acceleration Momentum Stocks

This week I have selected 8 breakout stocks from the following sectors: 2 healthcare, 4 basic materials, 1 technology and 1 services. Detailed charts for each stock are at the end of the article.

The new selections of positive momentum stocks for this week include:

  1. Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE) – Basic Materials / Independent Oil & Gas
  2. Cogentix Medical, Inc. (CGNT) – Healthcare / Medical Appliances & Equipment
  3. Forum Energy Technologies, Inc. (FET) – Basic Materials / Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
  4. Noble Corporation (NE) – Basic Materials / Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
  • Four additional long positions are available to subscribers.
  • Four negative acceleration momentum stocks available to subscribers.
  • Live daily chart tracking and momentum updates for subscribers are available along with detailed portfolio performance of individual stocks.

Thumbnail images of the Positive Momentum Portfolio Week 49


Welcome to the Momentum Breakout Selection list for Week 49. This article provides the complete list of Breakout Stocks for subscribers only. The full performance results for all the different portfolios are linked in the 2017 YTD performance results with important descriptions of the different portfolio methodologies. A brief summary of the selection methodology for these momentum stocks can be found in my primer article on quick pick momentum accelerators.

Performance Summary

This past Week 48 saw substantial volatility in the S&P 500 with the highest two consecutive weekly gains totaling 2.44% since May 28th. Consistent with the 63 years of historical S&P 500 returns charted below, November also saw the S&P 500 gain 2.81%, the largest monthly gain this year since 3.72% in February. I continue to maintain several market hedges in VIX as I have detailed on the message board. During the 260 point intraday decline in the Dow this week the VIX JAN calls saw gains of more than 44%. This significant
increase in volatility could be an early signal of a pending market top. Again, historically the S&P 500 tends to perform extremely well in December.Total cumulative long portfolio returns by week of the past 5 weeks (t-5) are listed below through the end of Week 48 to illustrate rolling returns of prior top performers through Friday:

Breakout Forecast Long Portfolio Returns past 5 weeks / Top Performers
Week 47 (t-1) +5.56% (EXPR) +31.52%, (NGVC) +25.60%, (SPWH) +11.54%
Week 46 (t-2) +1.64% (SORL) +24.87%, (PIRS) +11.38%, (AUTO) +8.20%
Week 45 (t-3) +7.30% (DNR) +44.70%, (IOVA) +12.82%, (SLCA) +11.43%
Week 44 (t-4) +8.90% (MRNS) +21.37%, (WLL) +11.08%, (ARAY) +8.25%
Week 43 (t-5) +15.18% (CPRX) +59.42%, (VRAY) +47.76%, (BBG) +31.72%

As I continue my study, the typical optimum momentum holding duration from this analysis appears to be one to three weeks, but as the rolling 5 week table above illustrates, some of these stocks can carry positive momentum for many weeks and some may return to the selection list in the current week.

The breakout frequency of 5% and 10% gainers per week continues to outpace the broad market by 4-5 times higher rates of occurrence in the same population of stocks (non-OTC, non-ETF). As the chart below indicates through Week 46, the average number of breakouts above 10% in a trading week is 26% of the breakout portfolio compared to 3.42% in the comparable population of stocks in the US market exchanges. This is a frequency greater than 7 times the expected breakout rate of the greater market population.

All past selections of individual returns are available on my list of articles by Breakout Forecast Week. This includes daily and weekly returns for all stocks selected since the beginning of 2017. These stock selections are intended to provide the highest probability of greater than 10% gains within the first week (5 trading days) by focusing on accelerating momentum characteristics detailed in my primer article linked above.

End of week results for Week 48:

Several of these stocks from last week continue to show momentum into next week. You can view their progress on the live chart link included for subscribers.
End of Week 48 Benchmark Index:

Charts of Week 49 Selections are as follows:

Positive Acceleration Momentum Stocks

Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE) – Basic Materials / Independent Oil & Gas

Cogentix Medical, Inc. (CGNT) – Healthcare / Medical Appliances & Equipment Forum Energy Technologies, Inc. (FET) – Basic Materials / Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Noble Corporation (NE) – Basic Materials / Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Value Portfolio Results through week 48

The following are the weekly updates for each of value portfolios generated every month and tracked in addition to the weekly breakout selections. The Forensic Analysis Value Stock selection portfolio returns are listed below. The latest December selections of the Forensic Portfolios are available here.

Forensic Selections with Adverse Scores Returns YTD Number of Periods
July (-) Forensic Portfolio 1 68.11% 5 months
Aug (-) Forensic Portfolio 2 39.05% 4 months
Sep (-) Forensic Portfolio 3 23.47% 3 months
Oct (-) Forensic Portfolio 4 -1.59% 2 months
Nov (-) Forensic Portfolio 5 4.80% 1 month
Forensic Selections with Positive Scores Returns YTD Number of Periods
July (+) Forensic Portfolio 1 15.50% 5 months
Aug (+) Forensic Portfolio 2 11.89% 4 months
Sep (+) Forensic Portfolio 3 3.06% 3 months
Oct (+) Forensic Portfolio 4 -4.40% 2 months
Nov (+) Forensic Portfolio 5 -6.66% 1 month

The Piotroski value model is well documented in 17 years of financial literature to outperform other value selection models. This is part of an ongoing study to test the selection performance through multiple portfolios over one year. Further detail and charts of each of the Piotroski Portfolios are available here.

Piotroski Enhanced Value Returns YTD Number of Periods
August Portfolio 9.41% 4 months
September Portfolio 10.10% 3 months
October Portfolio 4.92% 2 months
November Portfolio 2.10% 1 month

As always, I hope you capture the most beneficial returns of this small sample of the weekly breakout selections and have a profitable week of trading! Thank you for reading my articles. If you want free future updates, just click the Follow button at the top of the page.

If you enjoy receiving my Breakout Forecast updates each week, please also consider receiving the complete eight long selections and four short selections every week with a subscription today! Subscribers also receive the full updates with more detail well in advance of this article prior to the market open every week.

Thank you!

JD Henning, PhD, CFE

Disclosure: I am/we are long DNR NGVC EXPR SPWH MRNS.

I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Editor’s Note: This article covers one or more stocks trading at less than $ 1 per share and/or with less than a $ 100 million market cap. Please be aware of the risks associated with these stocks.


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Microsoft moves cloud intelligence to the network edge
May 13, 2017 1:35 am|Comments (0)

Cloud computing has become a concept that most people in technology recognize and at least partially understand, so it’s no surprise that the cloud is …

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Microsoft is on the edge: Windows, Office? Naah. Let's talk about cloud, AI
May 10, 2017 8:40 pm|Comments (0)

In other words, all the data coming off connected devices requires both local and cloud computing resources. The revolution will not be centralized.


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Edge computing will blow away the cloud
March 2, 2017 10:10 pm|Comments (0)

SAN FRANCISCO — The ubiquitous cloud computing craze may not be long for this world if venture capitalist Peter Levine is right. The Andreessen Horowitz general partner said that as more computing capabilities move to so-called “edge” devices, including anything from driverless cars and drones to the boundless devices that make up the internet of things (IoT), the cloud will slowly evaporate.

“A large portion of computation that gets done in the cloud today will return to the edge,” said Levine at the Wall Street Journal’s CIO Network event here Tuesday.

Levine said the driverless car, whose 200-plus CPUs effectively make it a “data center on wheels,” is a prime example of an edge device whose computing capabilities must be self-contained. Levine said that an autonomous vehicle relying on the cloud fo

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‘X Factor’ Michael Jackson Night Has Singers On Edge
June 21, 2016 3:10 am|Comments (0)

Meanwhile, Paula Abdul has been absent from the set since her final group was eliminated last week.
By Jim Cantiello

<P><i>MTV News’ own Jim Cantiello is exclusively covering “The X Factor” rehearsals. Read on for his fly-on-the-wall backstage report!</i> </P><P> </P><P><b>LOS ANGELES</b> &#8212; “The X Factor” top seven are back on the lot after their first (and only) mini-vacation of the season. And as the Thanksgiving tryptophan wears off, the anxiety of another double elimination is setting in. </P><P> </P><P></p><div class=”player-placeholder right” title=”‘X Factor’ Star Astro Teases His Michael Jackson Song Night Performance” id=”vid:714741″ width=”240″ height=”211″></div><p> </P><P> </P><P>Adding to the stress? “The X Factor” is tackling the songs of <a href=”http://www.mtv.com/music/artist/jackson_michael/artist.jhtml”>Michael Jackson</a> on Wednesday night (November 30), on the 29th anniversary of <i>Thriller</i>’s release, no less. </P><P> </P><P>One of the contestants is so stressed over the theme he’s emerged as a total perfectionist. During Monday’s rehearsals, he had already nixed multiple arrangements the show had provided him. “This is the most unprepared I’ve felt on a Monday,” he said to his mentor as they rushed out of Stage 36. There was a camera crew chasing them to capture the drama &#8212; as well as the ensuing late-night emergency meeting with the vocal coaches &#8212; so don’t be surprised if some of this intense footage ends up in your living room. (This afternoon’s dress rehearsal went swimmingly, for the record.) </P><P> </P><P>Meanwhile, one contestant had a full-on battle with his/her mentor over a chair. The mentor said, “Sit and sing.” The contestant said, “Again?! How about I do something on my feet for Michael Jackson week?” Another mentor came to the defense of the contestant. In the end, the contestant is sitting after all. Don’t worry, contestant. The eerie arrangement of an MJ classic is what folks are going to be buzzing about. No one will care if you sit or stand. In the control room, I spied one of the bigwigs utter the word “brilliant!” after the contestant’s dress rehearsal. </P><P> </P><P>Another hot topic: wardrobe! When paying homage to one of the biggest music icons ever, it’s tempting for the stylists to include clothing nods to Michael’s various looks. But several singers are worried they’ll look too much like Jackson impersonators, which has caused many a headache in the wardrobe trailer. But stylist June Ambrose is still able to keep things light in the midst of the drama. While waiting around for a contestant’s last-minute fitting, she started an impromptu MJ dance party on the lot. Crotch grabs and “woo” included! </P><P> </P><P>Lastly, Paula Abdul’s sunny energy has been noticeably absent on the CBS lot now that all her groups have been eliminated. She went from being the most hands-on mentor to an on-set ghost. “The X Factor” family can’t wait to welcome her back for her first live show as strictly a judge. What do you think she’s been doing with her newfound free time? </P><P> </P><P><b>You can catch Jim on the “X Factor Pepsi Pre-Show,” streaming at 7 p.m. ET tonight on <a href=”http://www.thexfactorusa.com/” target=”_blank”>TheXFactorUSA.com</a>!</b></p>

Related Artists

  • Michael Jackson


Christina Applegate Christina DaRe Christina Milian Christina Ricci Chyler Leigh Ciara


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IBM and Cisco are taking IoT analytics to the edge
June 3, 2016 11:40 am|Comments (0)

The Internet of things is no good without a way to act on the data it generates. A new partnership between two of the biggest IoT players promises to put smart collection and advanced analysis of data right where it’s needed.

IBM and Cisco Systems have worked out how to run components of IBM’s Watson IoT analytics on Cisco edge devices. This will bring more intelligence closer to where the action is, helping enterprises run things like factories and oil rigs more efficiently.

In 2014, Cisco unveiled small routers and switches that could be embedded in facilities and vehicles located far from any data center. The devices could take in data from local sensors and analyze it on site with a small, built-in Linux computer. Among other things, this “fog computing” system could decide what data was interesting enough to send to the cloud and what could just be thrown away.

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Microsoft pact makes Baidu the Edge browser’s default search engine in China
February 1, 2016 12:05 pm|Comments (0)

Screen Shot 2015-09-23 at 6.58.05 PM
Microsoft has announced a new partnership with Baidu, the hugely popular Chinese search engine. In China, Baidu.com will be the default home page and search engine for the new Microsoft Edge browser. Additionally, Baidu will deliver Universal Windows Applications for search, video, cloud and maps for Windows 10. The company plans to deliver a customized experience for Baidu’s more than 600 million users, featuring local browsing and search. Microsoft will make it easy for customers to upgrade to the official Windows 10 via a Baidu “Windows 10 Express” distribution channel. Microsoft isn’t abandoning Bing in China in its support for Baidu. According to Yusuf…

This story continues at The Next Web


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