Tag Archives: Worse
More than a third of AI experts surveyed by Pew Research said they are concerned that artificial intelligence will leave humanity worse off in 2030 than they are now, with the majority optimistic that the benefits will make life better for individuals.
Pew surveyed 979 “technology pioneers, innovators, developers, business and policy leaders, researchers and activists,” asking whether they thought that AI advances would leave most people better off by the year 2030. Will it “enhance human capacities and empower them?” Pew asked. Or will it “lessen human autonomy and agency,” leaving them worse off?
Overall, 63% said they were hopeful that people will be better off by 2030, with 37% believing they will not be better off. “Yet, most experts, regardless of whether they are optimistic or not, expressed concerns about the long-term impact of these new tools on the essential elements of being human,” Pew wrote in its survey findings released this week.
“2030 is not far in the future. My sense is that innovations like the internet and networked AI have massive short-term benefits, along with long-term negatives that can take decades to be recognizable,” Andrew McLaughlin, executive director of the Center for Innovative Thinking at Yale, said in response to Pew’s question.
Many of those surveyed said the good or bad effects of AI applications will depend on how they are built and deployed. Most of the anticipated benefits of AI center around making people more effective in their work and improving the ability of medical professionals to diagnose and treat diseases.
Among the optimists is Erik Brynjolfsson, director of the MIT Initiative on the Digital Economy, who told Pew, “I think it is more likely than not that we will use this power to make the world a better place. For instance, we can virtually eliminate global poverty, massively reduce disease and provide better education to almost everyone on the planet.”
Brynjolfsson also said that humans would need to work to guard against the negative potential of artificial intelligence. “AI and ML [machine learning] can also be used to increasingly concentrate wealth and power, leaving many people behind, and to create even more horrifying weapons,” he said. “We need to work aggressively to make sure technology matches our values.”
And while AI is expected to create some new jobs as well as make other jobs more productive, some respondents said that it could also lead to widespread job losses, and the sense of meaning that comes with work.
“The answer depends on whether we can shift our economic systems toward prioritizing radical human improvement and staunching the trend toward human irrelevance in the face of AI,” said Bryan Johnson, founder and CEO of Kernel, a developer of neural interfaces. “I don’t mean just jobs; I mean true, existential irrelevance, which is the end result of not prioritizing human well-being and cognition.”
Some also saw a potential risk to human liberty if AI expertise widens a gap between the powerful and the powerless.
“AI affects agency by creating entities with meaningful intellectual capabilities for monitoring, enforcing and even punishing individuals,” said Greg Shannon, a chief scientist at Carnegie Mellon’s CERT Division. “Those who know how to use it will have immense potential power over those who don’t/can’t. Future happiness is really unclear.”
A separate report from Diffbot this month estimated that 720,000 people are skilled at machine learning around the world, or nearly 1% of the world’s population.
Absurdly Driven looks at the world of business with a skeptical eye and a firmly rooted tongue in cheek.
When I book flights, I try to be patient.
Perhaps like many people, I go to Kayak or Google Flights, and hope to find everything that’s available.
Then, I might wait a few days to see if prices go up or down, depending on the urgency of my booking.
It’s like playing with your cat, really. Most of the time, Tibkins is quicker. Just occasionally, though, you get him.
The accusation was that Delta Air Lines made ordinary Economy Class flights appear as if they were Premium Economy when booked via Google Flights.
Or, as the Points-Saving God puts it: “Delta displays economy prices for Virgin Atlantic Premium Economy, and at no point during booking does it actually specifically tell you you’ve got the wrong deal.”
In essence, if you go through the Google Flights search process, wanting to book, say, return flights from London to LAX, you get what seems like a wonderful deal.
If you book via Delta’s site rather than its partner Virgin Atlantic’s, that is.
The price difference is more than $ 1,000. Which is clearly the very definition of a steal.
Because you like saving money and feelings clever, you click on that deal and still believe you’re booking Premium Economy.
It’s just that, if you look closely, it has a novel and delightful name: Economy Delight.
This is actually Virgin’s fancy name for something that’s slightly better than so-called Economy Classic, but is still very much Economy Class and not the wider seats and more pleasant experience of Premium Economy.
Which Virgin calls, oddly, Premium Economy.
For all you know, however, Economy Delight is what Delta calls Premium Economy.
There are so many names these days.
And nowhere, said God Save The Points, is it clear that it isn’t. After all, why are you being shown this option when you searched for Premium Economy fares?
I asked Delta for its view.
An airline spokeswoman told me:
Delta recognizes the limitations of some current shopping experience on third-party sites may not be ideal. That’s why we are leading industry collaboration to ensure customers have access to all of Delta’s products, no matter where they shop.
Ah, so it’s Google Flights’ fault?
Delta seems to think so. Its spokeswoman continued:
It’s time for third-party displays, including Google Flights, to invest in the technology necessary to display the various products available so customers can view all their options clearly, just as Delta has done for customers on delta.com.
An airline mocking Google’s technology? That resembles entertainment.
So I asked the Silicon Valley company for its reaction and will update, should I hear.
I remained perplexed. If Virgin Atlantic’s fares are accurately depicted, why aren’t Delta’s?
I was so moved by all this that I tried the search for myself.
I got very similar results to God Save The Points.
Not exactly close.
I clicked through to Delta’s site and there it was, the Economy Delight designation.
Only if I scrolled down would I see that an upgrade to Premium Economy would cost an additional $ 257.75 each way.
This all feels a touch unhealthy.
Delta says it’s the champion of the people, but airlines aren’t always so keen to play with third-party sites, where many people go to make comparisons.
Risibly, the airlines’ lobbying group claims this is all intended to increase, please wait for it, transparency.
It might even, say the comparison sites’ lobbyists, threaten the ability of fare comparison sites to operate.
Worse, the airlines seem to believe that third-party sites should deliver all the detailed information that airlines have, yet those same airlines refuse, in some cases, to give those sites that very information.
Which all should make emptors do a lot of caveating.
And we thought technology is going to make things easier.
Easier for corporations, perhaps.